Investing in bold ideas and the visionaries behind them

A venture “Tribe” of seasoned operators, engineers, and innovators backing founders in DeepTech, HealthTech, and DefenseTech—turning bold ideas into enduring companies for a safer, healthier, more prosperous future.

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Research

Research

Original, investor-grade deep dives on the companies we’ve backed and the forces shaping their markets — from defense technology and autonomous systems to AI, cybersecurity, and health innovation. Rigorous analysis, real conviction, and the diligence story behind every investment, told in full.

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The Economics of Deterrence: Not Fighting as an Asset Class

Deterrence used to hinge on warhead counts — now it hinges on milliseconds. We break down why autonomous defense systems, cross-domain integration, and the industrial base behind them may be the most mispriced asset class in venture today, and where the edge actually lives.

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The AGI Engineer: From Tokens to Titanium: Intelligence That Builds the Physical World

Intelligence that talks has been perfected. Now comes intelligence that builds. A thesis on AGI Engineering — and why I believe the physical world is the next frontier for transformative capital.

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Trust Is the New Competitive Advantage in the AI Era

AI capability is commoditizing fast. The new competitive moat is trust — the ability to prove your AI behaves predictably when failure is unacceptable. Organizations that engineer trust at scale will move faster, deploy more deeply, and win in the AI era.

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Inside Elon Musk’s Terafab

Terafab is Musk’s effort to build a tighter compute manufacturing stack for Tesla, xAI, and SpaceX. It is best understood as a proposal to reorganize the physical production of AI compute around a much tighter relationship between design, fabrication, packaging, deployment, and energy supply.

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Beyond the Machine: Autonomy 2.0 and the Race to Own the Coordination Layer

Autonomy 2.0 is no longer about self-driving cars — it’s about orchestrated systems. From V2X infrastructure to urban air mobility, the $5.44T opportunity lies in the intelligence that connects it all.

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The Kill Switch Is Broken: Agentic AI Swarms, Open-Source Chaos, and the New Arms Race

Three incidents in nine months exposed a systemic failure: AI agents running 80–90% of state espionage campaigns, frontier models blackmailing engineers at 84% rates, and 40,000 unsupervised agents deployed without oversight. The kill switch is broken—but $8.5B is building the next one.

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Investments
Latest posts
Transaction Execution & Portfolio Strategy: The Pre-IPO Due Diligence Framework (Part II)
Transaction Execution & Portfolio Strategy: The Pre-IPO Due Diligence Framework (Part II)

How institutional investors verify pre-IPO transactions, model liquidity scenarios, and construct portfolios that balance conviction with diversification.

by Manish Malhotra
How Institutional Investors Evaluate Private Company Investments: The Pre-IPO Due Diligence Framework (Part I)
How Institutional Investors Evaluate Private Company Investments: The Pre-IPO Due Diligence Framework (Part I)

Evaluating pre-IPO investments requires a fundamentally different analytical framework than public equities. Without quarterly earnings, SEC filings, or market-discovered pricing, investors must construct their own assessment across three critical dimensions covered in this framework.

by Manish Malhotra
The Invisible Fleet: Why Maritime Autonomy Is Becoming Smart Capital's Highest-Conviction Bet - From Air to Ocean.
The Invisible Fleet: Why Maritime Autonomy Is Becoming Smart Capital's Highest-Conviction Bet - From Air to Ocean.

Undersea cables are being cut. Adversaries deploy submarine-sized autonomous drones. The Pentagon commits $13B to maritime autonomy. This $46B market represents defense tech's next late-stage opportunity—and the deployment window is open now. Smart capital is moving from air to ocean!

by Manish Malhotra
How Agentic AI Is Transforming Global Capability Centers
How Agentic AI Is Transforming Global Capability Centers

Agentic AI—autonomous AI agents that don’t just help, but actually act, make decisions, and handle tasks on their own—are rewriting the rules. Instead of building huge centers full of people, the new model focuses on “Agent Factories” that coordinate smart systems.

by Sandeep Shilawat
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Cheap Intelligence: The New GenAI Investment Thesis
Cheap Intelligence: The New GenAI Investment Thesis

The GenAI investment narrative is shifting from training economics to deployment economics. While foundation model training remains strategically important, the emerging opportunity lies in “cheap intelligence”.

by Amarda Shehu
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Humanoid Combat Leagues: The Formula 1 of Physical AI - Let The Robots Fight!
Humanoid Combat Leagues: The Formula 1 of Physical AI - Let The Robots Fight!

Robot fight leagues are becoming far more strategically valuable than feeder systems for humanoid manufacturers. They're becoming the public R&D testbed and benchmark infrastructure that every player in physical AI will ultimately depend on.

by Manish Malhotra
The Silicon Battleground: A Journey Through Chris Miller’s “Chip War”
The Silicon Battleground: A Journey Through Chris Miller’s “Chip War”

I recently had the privilege of attending Chris Miller’s presentation and fireside chat at the Northern Virginia Technology Council (NVTC) event, and I can honestly say it was one of the most eye-opening experiences I’ve had in years. Standing in the heart of one of America’s

by Manish Malhotra
Stablecoins: The Digital Dollar Revolution That’s Reshaping Global Finance
Stablecoins: The Digital Dollar Revolution That’s Reshaping Global Finance

Stablecoins represent one of the most significant financial innovations of our time. What started as an experimental solution to cryptocurrency volatility has evolved into a $290 billion ecosystem that processed over $8.9 trillion in transactions in just the first half of 2025.

by Manish Malhotra
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